In the coming days, investors are keeping a vigilant eye on three traditionally safe-haven assets — Bitcoin (BTC), Gold (XAU) and Silver (XAG) — as they brace for potential turbulence. A pivotal factor underpinning the unease is the impending ruling by the Supreme Court of the United States regarding the legality of tariff policies enacted under Donald Trump’s administration, an event that could ripple through global markets and safe-asset sentiment.
Bitcoin: A slide toward the June lows
Bitcoin has started to show increasing signs of weakness. It has fallen back toward the $100,000 mark, with a looming risk of deeper decline if key support fails. Fundamental indicators are flagging trouble: the volume profile shows selling pressure dominating buying, and the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is forming lower highs — typical signals of weakening momentum.
Should Bitcoin break and close below the region of approximately $100,300 (within the broader $102,120–$98,200 zone), the technical path may open toward $93,708. On the upside, a sustainable reversal would require a daily close above $123,891, but intermediate thresholds at $111,999 and $117,552 would need to be breached first.
Gold: Under pressure as Fed rate-cut hopes fade
Gold, too, is showing signs of strain. It recently slipped beneath the psychological $4,000 level amid cooling expectations that the Federal Reserve would embark on further rate cuts in 2025. The probability that rates will remain unchanged rather than be cut has increased, putting additional downward pressure on gold.
From a technical perspective, gold has broken down from a symmetrical triangle pattern and is testing a key support at $3,938. If that fails and a 4-hour candlestick closes below $3,915, the next leg down could target $3,899 or even $3,886. Conversely, a meaningful rebound would likely require a close above $4,061 on the 4-hour chart to restore confidence.
Silver: The weakest link among the trio
Silver appears to be the most vulnerable of these three safe-haven assets. Having fallen below the mid-range of its “golden zone” (~$47.82) and under resistance of its 50-day and 100-day SMAs (~$48.08 and ~$49.76 respectively) the metal is now facing increased downside risk.
If support at $46.24 (the 38.2 % Fibonacci retracement) gives way, the next potential support level drops to $44.30 (23.6 % retracement). On the upside, for a positive turn, traders would want to see the RSI cross its signal line bullishly and for $47.82 to flip into support.
Why the tariff ruling matters to these assets
While it may seem unusual to connect asset prices to a legal decision on tariffs, the logic is as follows: a ruling that undermines confidence in U.S. trade or economic policy may trigger risk-off sentiment, boosting the appeal of safe havens. Conversely, a ruling that reinforces business and trade certainty might dampen the appeal of traditional safe-havens (like gold and silver) and even speculative ones like Bitcoin. Given that Bitcoin is increasingly viewed by some as a risk asset rather than purely a store of value, this dynamic becomes particularly relevant.
What investors should watch
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Timing: The ruling’s potential to trigger a sharp move means that volatility is elevated in the short term.
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Catalyst overlap: The tariff decision coincides with a backdrop of weaker macro signals (for instance, fading Fed rate cut hopes), amplifying risk.
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Support levels: For BTC ~ $100k, Gold ~ $3,938, Silver ~ $46 region. Watch for closes below these as warning signs.
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Upside reversals: For BTC above ~$123k, for Gold above ~$4,061, and for Silver if it reclaims ~$47.82 and shows RSI bullish crossover.
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Risk-management: Given the potential for sharp moves, employing stop-losses, sizing positions conservatively, and maintaining flexibility may be prudent.
Final thoughts
The upcoming decision by the Supreme Court about Trump-era tariffs is yet another layer of uncertainty for the market. Safe-haven assets like Bitcoin, gold, and silver are all under pressure — albeit from different angles. Bitcoin is wrestling with technical weakness and the possibility of institutional outflows. Gold is squeezed by fading monetary easing hopes. Silver, priced by the market as more of an industrial metal than a pure safe-haven, appears most exposed.
For investors, this means a heightened need for vigilance. Support levels are being tested, and if they break, the path lower could accelerate. On the flip side, a positive surprise could trigger a reflex bounce across these assets. Either way, prudence and readiness for volatility will serve you well.
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